Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Read the U.S. economy: U.S. economic indicators should know.
Consumer confidence index, unemployment rate, housing starts rate, orders for durable goods such as the barometer of the U.S. economy, more and more practitioners in the analysis of the China Securities report, the correlation with the U.S. economy to improve, particularly .the U.S. stock market shares on the Hong Kong stock market and the impact of A becoming more intense, it is necessary to look at the U.S. investors, economic indicators, and release point, the trend for the domestic economy and the stock market will have a better understanding of the impact. .<P> <P> This article focuses on the major U.S. economic indicators and their release point, that individual investors a better understanding of the U.S. economy to provide some help. .<P> ▲ Three GDP: gross domestic product (referred to as GDP), gross national product (referred to as GNP) Gross <P> GDP and industrial production is one of the country in a certain period of production of all final goods and .the total value of service. .<P> GNP is obtained by calculating the actual production of the national income, that is produced by one country within one year of the final products (including services) the market value of the sum of national income accounting is the most important component. .<P> General, if the steady growth of GDP data, indicating that the booming economy, national income increases, and if two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, is considered a recession. .<P> Gross industrial production accounts for a significant proportion of the GDP. .The industrial sector employs a large number of workers, the changes have a significant impact on the entire national economy, a positive correlation with the dollar exchange rate. .<P> ▲ Price Index for the three most often mentioned: the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI) and the wholesale price index (WPI) <P> CPI data, the increase was inflation may rise, the Federal Reserve .tends to raise interest rates for the dollar; the other hand, the negative dollars. .However, inflation should be maintained at a certain rate, the high (hyperinflation) or too low (deflation), are not conducive to the exchange rate. .<P> PPI reflected in the CPI rise higher, with a typical delay. .Although its a diversified portfolio of properties is generally believed that this delay makes today's PPI inflation, according to rough estimates (Rough-and-Ready) for tomorrow's CPI inflation has become possible. .<P> WPI is based on a weighted average wholesale price of bulk materials derived from price indices are compiled. .When the discussion of inflation, WPI Observation and CPI, PPI basically the same. .Mid-month before the publication of monthly data. .<P> ▲ two deficits: the fiscal deficit and trade deficit is a government of the balance of payments. .<P> The U.S. trade deficit has been in a state of the data, but the expansion of the deficit or reduce the difference. .<P> ▲ interest rate is adjusted <P> important tool of monetary policy, but also to control such as investment, inflation and the unemployment rate, thereby affecting economic growth. .<P> ▲ <P> capacity utilization and capacity utilization in the end is actually the number of actual production capacity to be productive in the running. .Covering the manufacturing, mining, utilities, durable goods, non-durable goods, basic metal industry, automotive and truck industry and the gasoline in eight projects. .When more than 95% of capacity utilization, on behalf of capacity utilization close to the limit, inflationary pressures will be unable to cope with the rapid capacity increase, if the capacity utilization of 90% or less, and continued to decline, that too much idle time of equipment, economic .a decline in the phenomenon. .Expected to lower interest rates in the market situation, the country's currency is bad. .<P> ▲ <P> housing starts rate in the United States, the general housing starts are divided into two types: single-family residential and group homes. .Began to build single-family residential when a base is 1, a one hundred apartments being constructed, its base of 100, and so calculate the rate of housing starts. .Experts generally more concerned the construction of single-family residential, as residential units in the group can be modified at any time, more volatile, the data often can not grasp. .<P> ▲ <P> leading indicator leading indicator (also translated into leading indicators) to predict future economic development in one of the most important economic indicators, a variety of economic variables to guide the economic cycle the weighted average. .<P> If the leading index declined for three consecutive months, indicates the economy is about to enter a recession; if the rise for three consecutive months, then the economy will prosper or continue to expand. .Leading indicators are usually 6 to 9 months lead time. .In the United States, generally considered a leading indicator of economic recession in the 11 months before the predicted economic downturn, and in the first 3 months of economic expansion and predictable economic recovery. .</ P>.
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