Thursday, December 30, 2010
Lehman Brothers Asia-Pacific head of global financial wealth of coaching qualifications successor.
New Chairman Ben Bernanke the Fed's "five challenges"
79-year-old United States Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan had to retire on 31 January, his position by the United States President's Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Ben Bernanke, to succeed. Ben Bernanke after taking office in maintaining economic growth, faces numerous challenges.
Challenge 1: end the fed, nearly two years of the interest of timing problems. Current United States economic growth has slowed, if monetary policy to maintain the long, United States economy is in a recession. But if early action in oil prices high background, inflation is likely to lose control. Ben Bernanke's decision to millions of consumers, investors and enterprises of the financial activities of decisive influence.
Challenge II: trade and fiscal deficit. Double deficit problems exist for a long time is always the danger of the United States economy, Japan, China and the United Kingdom the United States Government bonds of the largest investors lose confidence, reduction of United States bonds, United States economy is in trouble. At present national asset allocation diversified action has started to become apparent.
Challenge 3: high oil prices. High oil prices will restrain consumption, employment and overall economic activity, and enterprises will be the price increase of costs to consumers will undoubtedly increase inflationary pressures. And Ben Bernanke has always respected the inflation targeting policy also will be tested.
Challenge 4: United States real estate market overheating issues, real estate industry in recent years in support of overall economic growth in the United States played an important role, but currently this market is cooling trend. Once the real estate industry cooling too, will give the United States economy hit. For this reason, Ben Bernanke and his colleagues have early planning responses.
Challenge 5: how to communicate with the other countries of the central bankers to maintain good relations. Ben Bernanke, profound academic accumulation and good reputation, but as the new Chairman of the fed, his shoulders a burden is not easy. Ben Bernanke will find that "his greatest challenge is how to put himself in order to play."
World into the "female economy".
A revolution is quietly changing the role of women, particularly in developed countries. Might as well call it capitalism feminist movement — market forces and female talent, ambition and desire for a strong combination. Half the population of the world's women, finally got rid of the repressed their thousands of years of legal and social constraints.
We often think that capitalism and feminism is a natural ally. Conservatives are often United States consumer capitalism's greatest supporters, career women to enter the field of vision, inexplicably become hostile. At the same time, the feminist also past is called capitalism patriarchal system hold contradictory attitude.
However, fundamentally, the strength of the market economy is playing a declaration than any exercise or should, the female to the power powerful position, while the female is driving the world economy after the second world war by leaps and bounds as one of the most important motivation. The Economist (Economist) magazine has been the global gross domestic product (GDP) of the feminization of the "women in economy" (womenomics) of title, and a shocking analysis found that over the past 10 years, the number of women in the paid labour force increases on world economic growth in the contribution exceeds the rapid rise of China or new technologies.
Comparison of centuries of sex discrimination, this striking changes. The girls were so thoroughly conquered the developed classroom educators how to rescue the boy behind. This victory has continued to college — enter university woman than men. In the United States, 25 years of age in 55% of University students are women.
The increase in female knowledge training, which in turn translate into labour population, the proportion of women on the rise. In the United States, two-thirds of working-age women have paid work is the 1950 level twice, and the men's 77% of paid work has a more or less the same rate. Women also became entrepreneurs — in every four people in the United States, there is a women-owned businesses.
Capitalism one feminist impulse, is a commercial discovery: gender diversity helps to improve performance, sometimes even relatively large. PepsiCo Inc. (PepsiCo) new Chief Executive Officer of yingde La. tapanui (Indra Nooyi), and the other ten Fortune 500 Enterprise female person from consumer industry, this is no accident. Most of these companies are female consumers, so that they can show a female run better, of course. In fact, a Catalyst by consulting firms, often quoted study found that female executives more companies than those of female executives less company has better financial results.
Capitalism, feminism's second important impetus involves personal factors. Today's feminists often lament that few women describe themselves as feminists. But women are doing is making to improve the financial situation of the family. Even in work with children these worrying problem, many studies show that family financial success of their children's future is the most important factor in the decision.
Of course, the feminist movement of capitalism is far from being won: some glass ceiling seems to be indestructible. This spring, the New York Times (The New York Times) pointed out that in 2005, a major law firm in the United States, only 17% of the partner is a female. In view of the legal professional men and women graduates roughly, this proportion is very sad. Stanford University (Stanford) Neurobiology Professor Ben. Reyes (Ben Barres) believes that this phenomenon is still partly attributed to sex discrimination. He's perspectives have unusual weight: he is a degeneration of the man. Palestinian Professor original female Reyes named Barbara (Barbara), as the female and male scientists engaged in the work. Last month in his "natural" (Nature) magazine article, description of the "Barbara" your work is to be ignored, and these work only with "this" is the name of the show will be appreciated.
A more serious problem may be that people could not withdraw from the floor. The female has emerged as the paid labor force, but men yet all assume should assume the housework. However, even in the private space, market forces are beginning to make an impact. Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada) last month, the release of a time-use study found that as the wife's income increases, the husband spent on housework time increases, and the wife with the salary raise and spend the time on housework. When his wife's annual salary to $ 100 k and above, between husband and wife paid between labor and housework allocations may equal division.
Women may be in another invisible forces — population structure, discover more powerful alliance. All the rich countries are at the beginning of a population crisis, birth rates began to fall to below replacement levels. In rich countries, will continue to decline in the birth rate due to the increase in female employment seems to be logical, but statistics show the opposite result. Some of the highest birth rate in developed countries, such as the United States and Sweden, the proportion of women in paid employment actually much higher than in countries such as Japan and Italy, and its birth rate is also higher than the latter.
In regard to what causes low birth rate in developed countries, a variety of factors point to point to, job insecurity, lack of child care services provided by the State. But my personal theory is: a country of male supremacy doctrine more serious, the lower their birth rate. Market forces that employment for most women attractive, if we want to maintain the attractiveness of nurseries or social forces must adapt to the situation.
U.S. business executives take the lead in large cast shares Gates.
United States Senate to approve formally appointed as the new Treasury Secretary Paulson
United States Senate approved on 28 June · Henry Paulson as United States new Minister of finance.
Previously, Senate Finance Committee on United States President George w. Bush nominated Paulson took over the Finance Ministers held a public hearing, the duties and to approve this nomination.
Paulson on June 27, 2008 hearing indicated that if his appointment is approved, he will focus on how to maintain and improve the competitiveness of the United States in the world. When talking about how to reduce the United States Government's substantial fiscal deficit, he thinks it is necessary to reduce the budget deficit, but opposed by raising taxes to achieve the objective of reducing the deficit.
May 30, Bush's nomination of United States major financial companies Goldman Sachs Company Chairman Mr Paulson's successor announced his resignation on the same day John · Snow served as Minister of finance. According to relevant laws, the nomination must be approved by the United States Senate.
Blackstone shares losing streak a week 258 million deficit and foreign investment.
Bernanke changed his tune changes the Fed cited a declining insurance.
AmCham White Paper does not deal with large customers put pressure on China.
Asian stocks rebound conceal the U.S. recession cloud.
US 71% experts believe the Bush Administration has been recession still "no"
15-United States President George w. Bush responded to the Democratic Party in the United States Government to rescue the economy shortchanging of criticism. He said that the Government cannot rescue the economy go too far, "one of the worst things is overkill". On the day Bush said in his speech on the radio, the recent adoption of the United States home and business tax refund of economic stimulus measures will in the second quarter, the contribution to the economy, the third quarter of this role will become more intense.
Economic slowdown causes is the real estate market downturn
According to the http://finance Senate majority leader, Harry Reid · Democratic Party members, recently said in a statement: "the President still convince myself that inaction is a panacea for economic issues. But Democrats believe that in the United States economy is sliding into recession, the wait is an irresponsible policy. "Reid says that the wages and prices in the United States decreased, while the healthcare, education, energy, etc., all in the price. "This week, crude oil, gasoline prices hit an all-time high, and the depreciation of the dollar to the lowest level in history. I hope that the awareness of these issues, the President of the slow and we needed a solution at present United States. ”
To this end, the United States President George w. Bush said the root causes of the economic slowdown is the real estate market downturn. But he said he was opposed to the current Parliament are discussing several measures. These include took out $ 400 billion acquisition of loss of redemption of housing, modify the Bankruptcy Ordinance to allow judges to adjust mortgage rates, rising to promote.
Bush said the United States, many young couples because of the price is too high could not purchase their first home, but at present the market is self adjust delay such adjustment would only unanswered questions. In his view, the economy, especially in response to the housing market crisis, cannot do too much, "or you will make the complex problems worse and eventually hurt housing all people than from our help. ”
Most economists see light-US economy
According to the Wall Street Journal on the United States economy expected latest investigative, most economists think the United States economy into recession. 51 71% of respondents felt that the economy into recession, this survey is March 7-11 April.
This pessimistic mood in large part due to the recently released employment report, statistics for the month of February, employment in the United States reduces 63000, for the second consecutive month. RBS Greenwich Capital of Stephen · Stanley said: "I decline of judgement from employment data, the numbers in my opinion is a sign of recession. ”
55 respondents of 29 people said they expected the quarter United States economic contraction appears, 25 people expect the second quarter, the economy will shrink. All respondents is the average expected weak growth in the United States economy: first quarter annualised growth 0.1% only, second-quarter growth 0.4%. Usually on the traditional definition of a recession as the gross domestic product (GDP) decreased for two consecutive quarters, but Stanley pointed out that if you look back at the 2001 recession, there was only one-quarter of GDP declining, but perhaps this recession has a quarter of GDP decline.
Economists also on the 2008 United States economic recession and perhaps more than in 2001, and 1990-1991, two are particularly concerned about the possibility of a recession. They believe that the more the average probability of severe recession is 48%, higher than the previous survey of 39%. MacroEcon Global Advisors Mark · Nielsen said, we believe that the two previous recession mild, this time if the degree of recession, may be larger than the two previous slightly more serious.
In view of the concerns of the economy, the United States Government respondents expected and United States Federal Reserve Board will take more action. About 63% of respondents indicated that the use of public funds to solve the real-estate crisis possibilities is large, and even can be said to be certain that they average expected Fed will before the end of June will be the benchmark federal funds rate from the current 3% to 2%.
The next black president or woman president?.
Slashed dividends shrinking U.S. corporate earnings hurt stock investors have no confidence.
American parties "torture" bailout policies.
American voters are most concerned about the economic advantages of the three elections without everyone.
Congress has been maintained for 27 years to lift offshore drilling ban.
Wall Street G20 emerging economies will participate in consultation sniper combat recession.
Car loan crunch hit the U.S. economy will again impact on car sales.
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Does the United States to attract global talent behind?.
George Soros: holdings of us debt to buy u.s. stocks have fallen into the "dollar trap"
Although it has been the Chinese Government as a heart big, but China's holdings of bonds for the United States still silently in all channels.
United States Treasury Department 17, international capital flows (TIC) shows that as of the end of China's total holdings of 9 7989 billion United States national debt, and the month of August, 18 billion, compared to increase relative to the United States Government bonds of the second and third largest foreign holder of Japan and the United Kingdom respectively up to 203 million and 224 million holdings, it is not surprising, but China still a United States national debt the largest foreign holder.
Report, there are two noteworthy data: one that States have dished out long debt duanzhai, second is China since November 2007, the investment since start United States stock. This may prove that the United States economy begins with confidence.
The total amount is still ranked first in the world
Small holdings in China September 18 billion United States debt remains the head of the States
United States Treasury Department report showed that the United States Government bonds of the second and third largest foreign holder of Japan and the United Kingdom in September are larger holdings, 203 billion respectively in the holdings and holdings of 224 billion, respectively 7515 billion and 2493 billion.
Compared with the month of August, my September a total of 18 million in the United States national debt holdings, and to hold a total of 9 month of our United States national debt, 7989 billion total is still ranked first in the world.
The report also shows that the United States September buy long-term Treasury bonds of foreign capital inflow of 557 million, of which private investors net purchase 448 billion u.s. dollars, the official agency purchases to 109 billion. At the same time, the United States residents buy foreign long-term bonds for $ 15 billion.
The Chinese Government on this quite a headache: as early as March Wen Jiabao is warned United States Government measure its fiscal and financial policy, expressed his concern about China holds huge dollar assets. But before this in Obama's visit to China, Wen Jiabao has reiterated this worry.
Data show that China's foreign exchange reserves in the third quarter of this year reached a historical high of 2.27 trillion, equivalent to gross domestic product (G D P) by 50%. Analysts estimate that this will probably have more than 2/3 ratio is US dollar assets, for how to reduce the dollar assets, China's Central Bank has no more.
September, China's holdings of United States bonds 18 billion data show that China's holdings of speed has been slowed down?
Number is still growing
Standard Chartered Bank economist Yan Jin-an interview with this newspaper yesterday said that the United States Treasury Department September China United States national debt holdings is still a total data. From the data view, the September holdings and August than change is not very big, but we each month visit from details like long-term Treasury bonds and short-term bond data. This part of the data display, September, China still bought 107 billion long-term United States national debt, selling 90 million short-term debt. Yan Jin's view, this part of the data is compared with the earlier and there is no significant change: China for long-term debt still on the increase. This is because along with the United States economic recovery, and long-term Treasury bonds than short-term bonds more secure.
Based on this, Yan Jin yesterday reaffirmed: the Ministry of finance from the United States, China, the data may be part of the United States national debt data in London to buy, and to learn more detailed information, you still need to visit United Kingdom data. While the United States next year will be given a more detailed data--United States Treasury Department's annual report-adjusts full year data holdings and adhere to the national debt, and this data will be in February or April.
Now that the data does not demonstrate China's new strategy to sell bonds in the United States. Despite the slowdown in China may be purchased, but also in purchase---whether it be buying long-term bonds in the United States, or from another financial center to purchase.
While the United States has published data include private purchase and official purchase total of data from the data view, purchases may still increase.
Nevertheless, this data is not completely without highlights.
China has purchased in September 13 billion United States stock. Although this number with the United States national debt ratio but small, since November 2007, China is not in the United States stock on the new investment. This is the month of data in a particular point. Yan Jin's view, this could prove that start from September, China on the United States have greater confidence in the stock market. But this only occupies China United States assets held by a total of 7%, is not a great share ratio.
It is difficult to hit $ waichu
In fact, the United States economist George Soros last month in Hungary Budapest is located in the Central European University, a series of lectures that will the dollar as the major international currency has resulted in a dangerous imbalance. The dollar has lost its had the trust and confidence, but no other currencies may be replaced. Now the general trend is various currencies are the gold and other commodities and transfer of tangible assets. This is harmful because it will be these assets locked and cannot be put into effective use, and fanned fears of inflation.
In the United States George Soros opinion, should not be exclusive to the wider use of special drawing rights (SD R). This allows the international community to urge China to abandon its currency pegged, but also reduce international imbalances in the best way. In the light of the special drawing right is composed of several national currency decision, no monetary enjoy unfair preference privileges. Special drawing rights are included in the scope of the currency must be expanded, some of the new currency (including RMB), may not be fully convertible. Thus, the dollar may still be set up again for more desirable reserve currency, whose premise is that the dollar is carefully regulated.
Special drawing rights as one of the great advantages, is that it allows the creation of an international currency. Special like this moment this is particularly useful in that currency will be directed to where they are most needed. For now this will be a great improvement. This mechanism has agreed to
Huh doesn't need additional reserve of rich countries, the share of their existing be transferred to countries that need to be reserved, in a small area has begun.As George Soros said, China has been trapped in a dollar trap, if you continue to buy United States national debt, dollar and inflation risks are great, there is risk of loss of assets is very high; if you do not buy a United States national debt, United States Department of Treasury bonds supply resulted in excessive amounts of national debt prices, the same will let China stock of United States bonds held by the compromise.
In fact the Chinese officials and BJ's recent Western State officials indicated that there is no other choice but to continue its growing foreign exchange reserves of the majority of investment in the United States national debt. This remains the size and liquidity to support its large purchase behavior unique market.
Because of its huge size of foreign exchange reserves, if a massive transfer of China foreign exchange investment direction, may immediately deactivate any other target market chaos; if the institution sold too many dollars, would also give the sharp depreciation of the existing reserves. A bit reluctant to disclose names of Western officials told the financial times said.
A State-owned bank analysts then pointed out that China's huge size, regardless of the purchase waichu euros or yen are faced to the euro and the Yen's appreciation, this will result in occupies waichu scale in China for more than two-thirds of the risk of devaluation of the dollar assets.
Despite this, the Chinese Government is likely to be in talks with Obama once again raised the dollar assets security considerations, but so far, the United States national debt is relatively important part, but a short time, we also difficult foreign exchange assets investment diversification, China, US dollar or very important. Yan Jin said yesterday.
U.S. top ten ranked ninth rise of China Economic News.
Korean Qihe for assistance Bush finally score
≫>>>> related reading: enter the Korean nuclear test track topics
According to news, finance. expressly accept North Korea as with assistance Exchange Protocol, the United States Qihe control nuclear proliferation efforts will make a breakthrough in the Bush (Bush) Administration repeatedly foot diplomatic team will win a victory.
Last night's bargaining continued until after midnight, North Korea, United States and the other four countries negotiated on behalf of Pyongyang stop nuclear weapons programme in a final text came to an agreement; exchange for Korea every year will receive millions of dollars of financial and energy assistance.
States negotiator has text back to the respective capitals to question their leaders, approved, and is scheduled to meet again this morning to formally sign the file. But Korean leaders may refuse to accept the agreement.
United States negotiator kelisiduofu • Hill (Christopher Hill) on the reporters said that the final draft text impeccable. Washington senior United States Government, it has been approved, the only question to North Korea's message. China, Japan and Russia ROK Quartet is also very likely to sign the agreement.
Bush to abandon its nuclear weapons program in North Korea subdued, it will be a hard-won victory, and the time for diplomacy coincided with the Iraq war and Iran impasse disputes on issues get Bush and opposition. On Condoleezza Rice, Secretary of State (Condoleezza Rice), reached an agreement with North Korea is a major victory, she needed to this victory repelled from the Pentagon and Vice President Dick Cheney (Dick Cheney) Office, who helps reinforce the current regime of agreement which they oppose.
However, the agreement will enable the Conservatives and the Democratic Party is accusing the Bush administration retrogress Clinton (Clinton) Government in 1994 by the US-DPRK agreed framework. Bush at the beginning of the 2001 ruling on the one side of a framework agreement to abandon. Accusations that the Bush administration refuse to negotiate a waste of time, the opportunity to expand in to Pyongyang nuclear arsenals. While hardliners are warned North Korea do not comply with this agreement.
United States property robbed the Fed hinted that continue to rise
United States real estate industry is undergoing a major adjustment information map
"The United States real estate industry is experiencing a major adjustment, but apart from that, the United States economy continued to maintain a healthy and vibrant. "The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas District 25, said Fischer. This is from the United States currency authorities this month, 20, announced renewed interest rates remain unchanged since the first public on economic issues statement of Federal Reserve officials. However, Fischer also once again stressed that now more than economic, worrying is inflation, implying that the interest rate is not the end.
The property market is going through a major revision
Fischer acknowledged that the United States real estate industry is experiencing significant amendments, this judgement is also available from the latest data is validated.
25 day published United States August second-hand housing price for the first time in 11 years, while sales decline is reduced to the lowest since early 2004. National Association of Realtors said last month that second-hand middle price over the same period last year, sales volume decrease 1.7% by 0.5% annualised to 630 million sets.
At the same time, the housing supply is increased to over 13 years of highest level, therefore, further price cuts sales seems to be inevitable. House price fall will undoubtedly affect the United States consumer's ability to pay, and thus to the United States economy accounted for 70% of consumer spending.
The Fed is the "attention" of the housing market, Fischer said. But he also pointed out that, unlike the previous housing market slowdown, current United States banking system stability, liquidity, so do not panic.
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Sino-US strategic economic dialogue operation to Carlisle resigns suddenly
United States Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson's Chief · Chinese Affairs Adviser wave if · Carlisle (DeborahLehr) recently announced his resignation this distance she took office and is responsible for the operation of the "Sino-US strategic economic dialogue" mechanism is only one month.
According to the Wall Street Journal reported that the United States Department of the Treasury Department said wave if · Carlisle is resigned for personal reasons, not because she and the Government in the United States should be how to deal with China on the question of differences emerged. U.s. stakeholders in morning news reporter said Lyle's resignation will not be forthcoming strategic economic dialogue has a great effect.
It was close to Carlisle's insider, Carlisle has two young children, taking into account the position of the Ministry of Finance of long working hours and regular travel required, Lyle handed in his resignation. Lyle's husband is currently serving as Director of Goldman Sachs Group Office · John Rogers.
But the departure of Carlisle United States new after all let Paulson's team has vacancies. Former Goldman Sachs Group CEO long Paulson in July as United States Secretary of the Treasury, he will be responsible for the Bush Administration's economic policies.
In mid-September, the first official visit to China, Paulson announced that China will launch a "strategic economic dialogue" with a view to improving in recent years because of exchange rate and piracy problems cause cracks in the bilateral economic relations. He also specify Lyle as his Special Envoy to help organize and arrange the twice-yearly to this dialogue. Paulson in Goldman Sachs served, Lyle is one of his advisers.
The Wall Street Journal reported that when he told a meeting with senior Chinese officials, he let him sit near Carlisle to highlight her in the United States Department of the Treasury and the new open bilateral economic dialogue. Paulson was called, in cooperation with China is the key to be able to contact all the levels of all relevant personnel.
In Carlisle submitted a resignation letter last week, the United States Department of the Treasury to the Chinese authorities informed her will to leave messages.
The current Chairman of the United States MBP consulting company, stone bridge international Chinese Vice President of wave if · Carlisle United States had been working for the National Security Council and the United States Department of Commerce. Lyell was the Clinton Administration's trade negotiators, and China's accession to the u.s.-China trade negotiations as the Deputy Representative of the US negotiations. She also studied in Beijing dedicated to Chinese.
According to United States Treasury Department spokesman revealed that Paulson before the end of this year will visit to China to attend the first round of the Sino-US strategic economic dialogue. United States Treasury Department officials also said that since the departure of Carlisle, organizational strategy dialogue burden will fall on responsible for International Affairs Minister Timothy · Adams (TimothyAdams) and the Ministry of finance, Deputy Chief of staff changtai Asia · Smith (TaiyaSmith). Before he took office in Paulson, Adams has been responsible for the Ministry of Finance's policy towards China. But Smith served as Adviser to the United States Department of State.
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