U.S. interest rates by the end of the possibility of Qicheng?.

With a barrel of crude oil futures prices approaching $ 140 a barrel, an increasing global inflationary pressures. .Recently, the Federal Reserve (FED) has a number of official interest rates on public occasions that demand exists, but it also said in early 2009 before the interest rate adjustment is unlikely. .However, the relevant index shows that the market is expected to raise rates in October the United States the possibility of up to 70%. .<P> Then the international investment banks such as this to see how it? .Many international investment bank analysts were told this reporter that the Fed will stop cutting interest rates is expected pace, and probably the end of this year or early next year when interest rates <P> Supported by: raising interest rates by 25 basis points by end <P> structure of the international investment bank Credit Suisse .Ministry of the main financial products trading group, Dr. Ren Guojie recent interview with this reporter said: "The Federal Reserve on June 25, August, September, October and December have a regular meeting in October or 12 .month's rate hike for now, about 70%. interest rate increase may be 25 basis points. "<P> Guo Jie Group, said:" Although the United States in April's consumer price index (CPI) fell by more than 0.1% in March .. But people are living more closely with food and petrol prices are still rising. the actual inflation is the Fed must be taken into account. But the Fed is not likely to raise interest rates in the near future, because from the tight credit market liquidity .Although greatly improved the problem but still not completely resolved. On the other hand, the U.S. consumer confidence index fell to its lowest twenty-eight years. consumers opening their wallets more carefully. So if that is possible in the near term rate hike .will result in further blow to economic growth. "<P> the opposing party: expected to raise interest rates next year, chief China economist at Morgan Stanley <P> Wang interviewed yesterday, said:" Obviously, the Fed .the pace of interest rate cut has stopped because the most recent rate cut is the smallest margin - 25 basis points. and the current inflation in the world including the United States is enormous pressure for further interest rate cut is unlikely. but we expect the Fed will not next year .interest rate increase this year. "<P> Moody's economist Sherman Chan, senior interviewed yesterday, said: The U.S. Government has recently reduced expectations for economic growth, but unemployment rate raised the forecast, so we estimate that the U.S. government .interest rates will remain unchanged this year, but in 2009, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates. .<P> Standard & Poor's Asia Pacific chief economist Subir Gokarn in the interview with this reporter, also said: "We think the Fed to keep benchmark interest rates this year and 2% will be unchanged next year would raise interest rates." </ P .> <P> Nanzu U.S. interest rates or shares of hot money inflows A </ P> <P> facing the United States cut interest rates to stop raising interest rates on the Chinese stock market impact? .Guo Jie group, told reporters that: If the U.S. stock market as hot money, then return and stable development of global markets including China, are positive. .However, as the U.S. real estate prices are down, the banks bad debts caused by the sub-prime has not been eliminated, so that the root cause of the U.S. stock market volatility has not been fully resolved. .<P> Wang said this: "The U.S. interest rate cuts after the stop, the attractiveness of China's revaluation of assets must not so big. But the hot money has little effect on the Chinese stock market, accounting for the stock market because of its small percentage of the total .. China's stock market will be more affected by domestic inflation and external economic uncertainties. "<P> and Moody's senior global economist Sherman Chan said:" I do not think U.S. interest rates will prevent the pace of hot money into China, .because investors are still very keen to see the appreciation of Chinese assets profit potential opportunities. "<P> Standard & Poor's sovereign and international public finance ratings director Clement Chan in the interview with this reporter said:" Even if U.S. interest rates, it will not .of funds into the Chinese stock market have a significant impact, because first and foremost, foreign investment in China A shares purchased by the QFII limit the amount of funding constraints, I believe that this limit has now been with the full, indicating that foreign investment in China's stock market is very high demand .they will not raise interest rates just because the United States to withdraw to leave. In addition, whether the funds to enter China's stock market depends on whether the price that the Chinese stock market will rise. as long as the Chinese stock market remains bullish, the international capital will not increase because the United States .interest rates and withdrawal of funds. "<P> reduced pressure of monetary policy in China <P> In addition, several analysts generally believe that, due to stop cutting interest rates, the dollar has been a firm trend. .With the appreciation of the dollar, China's monetary policy pressure will therefore decrease. .<P> International Investment Services, Senior Economist, Moody's Sherman Chan is that when the Fed raises interest rates, shows that the U.S. economy started to recover, which is China's export sector is good news. .</ P>.